Originally Posted by dtc
Have you consulted an electoral map upon which to base these wide eyed assertions? I suspect not and given the national polling you're talking about it would make sense that you're thinking that because they're statistically tied in various polls that the general election numbers matter.
They don't. What matters is getting the number or required college ballots. That race isn't very close.
Yeah, I've looked at the electoral map. And I'm sure you've seen the results from 2010 in the battleground states. Romney will win the popular vote by 3-4%, maybe 5%, which is more than enough to assure an electoral college victory. The only time the electoral college has not been aligned with popular vote, the popular vote was essential split 50/50.
The only thing that would throw off this calculation would be a mildly serious third party run.