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Old 10-03-2017, 02:37 PM   #1
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Tropics watch Gulf Coast (Hurricane Nate - New Orleans in the Cone)

10/5, 3:30pm: ADDING LINKS/MAPS TO ORIGINAL POST. ~primadox


NHC Products

NHC Home
Tropical Weather Outlook

Key messages regarding Nate
Nate Public Advisory
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Nate Forecast Advisory


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WWL Hurricane Center


CURRENT MAPS/FORECASTS/MODELS:

NHC projected track


NHC Projected Track with forecast wind speeds and arrival times


Projected track (courtesy of wunderground.com)



Spaghetti models

via weatherunderground:


via myFoxHurricane.com:



Link to maps of various tracking models, via Tropical Tidbits:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/

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College of DuPage Meteorology


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Infrared




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***********************************************
Original post:



Chance of something forming in Gulf. Models bring it north. I saw some runs towards NO and others by the Pan Handle.

About a week out, if it forms. Or just rain.

EDIT: First advisory added... actually, this advisory should automatically update.

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Last edited by primadox; 10-05-2017 at 05:20 PM.
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Old 10-03-2017, 02:39 PM   #2
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GFS..
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Old 10-03-2017, 02:41 PM   #3
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**** you, weather!
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Old 10-03-2017, 02:57 PM   #4
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Old 10-03-2017, 03:16 PM   #5
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**** you, weather!
and **** you Dolphin!
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Old 10-03-2017, 03:23 PM   #6
Intervention needed!
 
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well at least the pumps are...
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Old 10-03-2017, 03:47 PM   #7
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so one last hoorah before Season end eh?
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Old 10-03-2017, 03:58 PM   #8
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So far the GFS keeps it as a tropical storm, at worst. The ECMWF makes it look like a potential Cat 1, in the pan handle.

About 7-8 days out.

I'd just suggest you pick up a few things now before people freak out and it's hard to get. And let's hope it doesn't really form, or is just a bit of rain. Check your generators now.
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Old 10-03-2017, 04:15 PM   #9
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Old 10-03-2017, 04:33 PM   #10
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Quote:
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so one last hoorah before Season end eh?


Hurricane season doesnt end for approx 2 more months.
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Old 10-03-2017, 04:47 PM   #11
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Hurricane season doesnt end for approx 2 more months.
True,but tropical cyclone formations start falling off drastically after October 15th. The Cape Verde season has already ended. The monsoonal winds are
now blowing off the African coast. An Atlantic cyclone after mid October is rare. Just like one in early June.
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Old 10-03-2017, 05:47 PM   #12
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18z GFS

Near Cat 2 strength at Landfall near Port Fourchon:


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Old 10-03-2017, 06:10 PM   #13
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Old 10-03-2017, 06:30 PM   #14
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