bclemms
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As of now it looks like Fiona will stay out in the water.
However, there are two disturbances in the Atlantic that will be slow to develop over the next few days. Several models are consistently trying to really strengthen to a near major hurricane. They are also hinting at the possibility of putting it in the gulf.
MODELS ARE A VERY LONG WAY OUT right now. Please do not take it as fact. I'd put it somewhere near 25% that this thing forms, holds together and ends up in the gulf. Normally I'd never post about a hurricane this far out. However, we have so many people distracted by the flooding and so many that have lost everything including homes and cars that I'd like to remind everyone we are just entering peak hurricane season. We also have so many people right now without any sort of preparation since they lost everything. Just want to give everyone a little extra heads up to watch these disturbances closely.
Again, models this far out typically aren't very accurate. This is just a reminder to pay attention.
**************************************************************************
UPDATE: 8/31, 4:00pm: ADDING LINKS/MAPS TO ORIGINAL POST.
Added additional links due to upgrade to TS status; added new NHC interactive storm surge and tracking maps ~primadox
NHC Products
NHC Home
Tropical Weather Outlook
Tropical Weather Discussion
Hurricane Hermine Public Advisory
Hurricane Hermine Forecast Advisory
Hurricane Hermine Forecast Discussion
Hurricane Hermine Wind Speed Probabilities
Local advisories
NEW NHC INTERACTIVE MAPS:
**NEW NHC MAP** Storm Surge Watch/Warning graphics
**NEW NHC MAP** Potential Storm Surge graphics
**NEW NHC MAP** Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Track Forecast Cone
**NEW NHC MAP** Mesoscale Analysis (image refreshes every minute)
Other Local Weather Statements
WWL Hurricane Central
Satellite Products
Link to NOAA page with numerous animated images: Tropical Cyclone Imagery - Storm Floaters - Satellite Products and Services Division - Office of Satellite and Product Operations
Visual (animated)
Water Vapor
Infrared
Radar
from wunderground.com:
CURRENT MAPS/FORECASTS/MODELS:
Computer models (courtesy of wunderground.com):
NHC projected track with watches/warnings
Warnings and surface winds
NHC wind speed probabilities
NHC rainfall potential
However, there are two disturbances in the Atlantic that will be slow to develop over the next few days. Several models are consistently trying to really strengthen to a near major hurricane. They are also hinting at the possibility of putting it in the gulf.
MODELS ARE A VERY LONG WAY OUT right now. Please do not take it as fact. I'd put it somewhere near 25% that this thing forms, holds together and ends up in the gulf. Normally I'd never post about a hurricane this far out. However, we have so many people distracted by the flooding and so many that have lost everything including homes and cars that I'd like to remind everyone we are just entering peak hurricane season. We also have so many people right now without any sort of preparation since they lost everything. Just want to give everyone a little extra heads up to watch these disturbances closely.
Again, models this far out typically aren't very accurate. This is just a reminder to pay attention.
**************************************************************************
UPDATE: 8/31, 4:00pm: ADDING LINKS/MAPS TO ORIGINAL POST.
Added additional links due to upgrade to TS status; added new NHC interactive storm surge and tracking maps ~primadox
NHC Products
NHC Home
Tropical Weather Outlook
Tropical Weather Discussion
Hurricane Hermine Public Advisory
Hurricane Hermine Forecast Advisory
Hurricane Hermine Forecast Discussion
Hurricane Hermine Wind Speed Probabilities
Local advisories
NEW NHC INTERACTIVE MAPS:
**NEW NHC MAP** Storm Surge Watch/Warning graphics
**NEW NHC MAP** Potential Storm Surge graphics
**NEW NHC MAP** Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Track Forecast Cone
**NEW NHC MAP** Mesoscale Analysis (image refreshes every minute)
Other Local Weather Statements
WWL Hurricane Central
Satellite Products
Link to NOAA page with numerous animated images: Tropical Cyclone Imagery - Storm Floaters - Satellite Products and Services Division - Office of Satellite and Product Operations
Visual (animated)
Water Vapor
Infrared
Radar
from wunderground.com:
CURRENT MAPS/FORECASTS/MODELS:
Computer models (courtesy of wunderground.com):
NHC projected track with watches/warnings
Warnings and surface winds
NHC wind speed probabilities
NHC rainfall potential
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