***TROPICAL ALERT** Tropical Storm BARRY (previously 92L) (1 Viewer)

[Brad Mojo]

Be sure to interview the most odd looking, unintelligent person you can find. It seems like those are the only ones on camera in times like this.

Must...resist...easy...joke.

 

[superchuck500]

What if they threw a tropical storm and nobody rained?









Sorry, I know it’s bad

 

[Bill]

What if they threw a tropical storm and nobody rained?



Sorry, I know it’s bad

We have that here all the time. It's called Summer.

 

[Dan in Lafayette]

I hope this storm doesn't go all Hurricane Juan on us. It's almost stationary now and doesn't seem to have any real steering currents. Here's what Juan did.

 

[Bill]

I hope this storm doesn't go all Hurricane Juan on us. It's almost stationary now and doesn't seem to have any real steering currents. Here's what Juan did.

I remember that one well. It was a late October storm. It never got very strong from a low pressure standpoint, but hung around the coast for several days and kept pumping in the rain & moisture.

Let's not have that again, please!

 

[superchuck500]

I hope this storm doesn't go all Hurricane Juan on us. It's almost stationary now and doesn't seem to have any real steering currents. Here's what Juan did.

I remember Juan. The schools didn't know what to do - we had a few days off IIRC.

 

[SharonT]

I remember Juan. The schools didn't know what to do - we had a few days off IIRC.

Yes! That's the one that saved me from the dunking booth. Our school fair had to be cancelled. From then on I tried not to be the last teacher to volunteer.

 

[superchuck500]

 

[St. Widge]

So it looks like the GFS has moved over to where the NHC had been forcasting the track for the last day or so. Just east of what I think is Vermillion Bay.

 

[wnelson]

has there ever been a named storm that hit while the spillway was open and we are on month 5 or so of a river flood warning? this is what makes me somewhat worried... all that water has to have some place to go....

 

[efil4stnias]

So it looks like the GFS has moved over to where the NHC had been forcasting the track for the last day or so. Just east of what I think is Vermillion Bay.

gonna be a rain maker - hopefully there will be decent breaks in the banding to offer time for pumps to keep up if we see 10-15" as forecast. I think most will be ok if that 10-15 comes over a period of 36 hrs. But if several come in just an hour or so, it will cause flooding.

 

[TheMike62987]

So it looks like the GFS has moved over to where the NHC had been forcasting the track for the last day or so. Just east of what I think is Vermillion Bay.

Not too familiar with the locations you're mentioning Widge. GFS earlier around 12pm had it tracking right over New Orleans. Is the NHC track
more west?

 

[GrandAdmiral]

has there ever been a named storm that hit while the spillway was open and we are on month 5 or so of a river flood warning? this is what makes me somewhat worried... all that water has to have some place to go....

I doubt it. I know they've already posted that we've never had to deal with a tropical system with the river as high as it is now.

 

[St. Widge]

gonna be a rain maker - hopefully there will be decent breaks in the banding to offer time for pumps to keep up if we see 10-15" as forecast. I think most will be ok if that 10-15 comes over a period of 36 hrs. But if several come in just an hour or so, it will cause flooding.

Timing is the key. The problem yesterday was that a good portion of the City got nearly 10 inches of rain in 2 to 3 hours. If that is spread out over 48 hours we can handle it. There would probably be some localized flooding, but probably not anything City wide or really life threatening. I know my street in the Navarre neighborhood flooded but a mile or so a way closer to the Lake on Louis XVI there was no flooding on streets that always flood.

 

[St. Widge]

Not too familiar with the locations you're mentioning Widge. GFS earlier around 12pm had it tracking right over New Orleans. Is the NHC track
more west?

The 1:00 GFS has it west of New Orleans coming on shore what looks like south of Franklin, LA which is West of Morgan City. But it could be a little more east of that. That's pretty much what the NHC has been forcasting for the last day or so. Although they had it a little more west at some point.

The good news, for New Orleans at least, is that it looks like there is a large grouping of ensemble models that think it goes much more west. However, the GFS which I think it typically more accurate has it more east where I talked about above.

This is a link to the 1:00 model runs:

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2019/tropical-storm-barry?map=model


This is a link to the ensemble members:

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2019/tropical-storm-barry?map=ensemble