COVID-19 Outbreak (Update: More than 2.9M cases and 132,313 deaths in US) (10 Viewers)

[B4YOU]

So the previously reported US case is in Northern California with no known travel or connections to other cases. Per WashPost.

Speculation from me:

California is one of 3 states with testing capabilities. The CDC is limiting their case definition and testing protocols to China, symptoms, and/or known contact with Covid. I would put money that California testing has expanded beyond that case definition and found either a person entering from SK or Japan or a community transmission. If it is the latter and with California having an estimated 8.4k on self quarantine protocols, then I worry about community response. Note: CA has only tested 200 people to date of Feb 25 per their public health website.

My fear has been about case definition and testing capabilities. If you self quarantine 8400 people but only test 200, then you risk missing infections. If this lag from self quarantine to testing to mandatory quarantine isn’t closed, then the window for spread for missed cases widens.

 

[Tapxe]

Made in China?

UK

 

[B4YOU]

Washington Post: “The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has been informed of the first case of the coronavirus in a person who did not recently return from a foreign country or have contact with a confirmed case, according to a person briefed on the case, a sign the virus may be spreading in a local area.

Officials have begun tracing the contacts of the resident to find out how the person may have been infected and who else might have been exposed.”

More speculation based on WaPo article:

“The CDC has been informed” suggests this came from California State or local lab. I think the person tested would be outside the CDC case definition because you don’t use limited state resources on potential case that the federal will do. You do what the federal government won’t.

 

[RKNSaint]

Friendly reminder gents. I know it isn’t easy, politics free to the extent we can. Please, much appreciated.

Particularly click bate cherry picked generalizations solely meant to be one sided and borderline misleading and misrepresented.

 

[superchuck500]

More speculation based on WaPo article:

“The CDC has been informed” suggests this came from California State or local lab. I think the person tested would be outside the CDC case definition because you don’t use limited state resources on potential case that the federal will do. You do what the federal government won’t.

Theres an article earlier in this thread (Atlantic I think) about how little the CDC actually does at hospitals. Most of the response to the outbreak will be at the state level.

 

[RazorOye]

Whiskey!

I've got 8 bottles of whiskey/bourbon, 3 scotch, 3 tequila, 2 vodka - not a huge collection, I know. But enough to get by for a bit. In case.

 

[James Spader]

I've got 8 bottles of whiskey/bourbon, 3 scotch, 3 tequila, 2 vodka - not a huge collection, I know. But enough to get by for a bit. In case.

Me in a couple weeks:

 

[James Spader]

On the Tech front:

An AI Epidemiologist Sent the First Alerts of the Coronavirus

The BlueDot algorithm scours news reports and airline ticketing data to predict the spread of diseases like those linked to the flu outbreak in China.

www.wired.com

 

[nolaspe]

I've got 8 bottles of whiskey/bourbon, 3 scotch, 3 tequila, 2 vodka - not a huge collection, I know. But enough to get by for a bit. In case.

That sounds like a @zeetes starter pack...

 

[James Spader]

Japan, XFL next (that is a joke):

Japan bans fans from baseball games over virus

The spread of the coronavirus has forced Japan's professional baseball league to ban fans from its 72 remaining preseason games.

www.espn.com

 

[nolaspe]

Japan, XFL next (that is a joke):

Japan bans fans from baseball games over virus

The spread of the coronavirus has forced Japan's professional baseball league to ban fans from its 72 remaining preseason games.

www.espn.com

 

[gboudx]

THIS IS EXPIRIMENTAL, way too many variables exist and only time will verify if it is good or garbage. So far the forecast we put together is going surprisingly well in Europe but it is still very early. This map is something we did based off of climatology, weather forecast data, population density, travel frequency, travel routes. It is for risk of person to person spread only, not importing single cases from travel.

Why is DFW higher risk than Houston? I’ll concede DFW metro has about half million more people but size is comparable.

 

[nolaspe]

Why is DFW higher risk than Houston? I’ll concede DFW metro has about half million more people but size is comparable.

I'm guessing b/c DFW is located more north and we're still having very cold days w/ lots of wind... I'm hitting up Wal-Mart tomorrow to get some canned goods and the sort...

 

[Eeyore]

Trump Insists on Paying for Coronavirus Prep by Taking Heating Aid From Poor

The White House’s neurotic obsession with hurting the disadvantaged is going to get us all killed (or, at least, many of us needlessly ill).

nymag.com

"A document that the Trump administration sent to Congress, which we have seen, indicates that the administration is transferring $37 million to emergency funding for the coronavirus response from the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program, or LIHEAP, which funds heating for poor families."

 

[gboudx]

I'm guessing b/c DFW is located more north and we're still having very cold days w/ lots of wind... I'm hitting up Wal-Mart tomorrow to get some canned goods and the sort...

Overall it’s been above average with 1 or 2 highs in 40s thrown in. Like today. Population density is similar. This winter season is not following climatology.