Only 8 games with a team having a 98% win probability ended up losing in the past 15 seasons (1 Viewer)

[Saint Kamara]

And 3 of those 8 belong to the Atlanta Falcons, in just the past 6 weeks.

Doing the math, that's a total of 3,584 games before this season in which that's happened only 5 times.

 

[Madmarsha]

Oooh, great stat. Fun thread!!!

 

[Saint Kamara]

Oooh, great stat. Fun thread!!!

See kids, you can have fun with numbers.

Math is cool. Just remember to drink your milk and stay in school.

 

[Taker597]

So, Atlanta has 4?

 

[Saint Kamara]

So, Atlanta has 4?

You know I didn't notice if they made the distinction of regular season or not. My guess is that it included all games, so yeah make it 4 of the 8.

 

[TenTwo]

So, Atlanta has 4?

Without looking it up, I'm guessing Atl has 4 and some combination of us, the chargers, the browns and the Lions make up the others.

 

[jayd265]

I’d assume maybe the colts with a prime manning or pats/brady would have 1 or 2 of those games. Maybe saints/Dolphins 2009 game?

 

[Super]

3 in the last 6 weeks out of 8 Wow. Only
2 of 8 weeks left

 

[BiloxiSaint1]

And 3 of those 8 belong to the Atlanta Falcons, in just the past 6 weeks.

Doing the math, that's a total of 3,584 games before this season in which that's happened only 5 times.

I hope the Saints weren't in that number!

 

[Saint Kamara]

Without looking it up, I'm guessing Atl has 4 and some combination of us, the chargers, the browns and the Lions make up the others.

The last 15 seasons would be the Brees era.

I don't ever remember such a terrible loss as being 98% probability of a win. We have probably been upper 80s before.

 

[Saint Kamara]

I’d assume maybe the colts with a prime manning or pats/brady would have 1 or 2 of those games. Maybe saints/Dolphins 2009 game?

09 Dolphins is a great guess.

With just under 2 minutes to go in the half, the Dolphins up 24-3 and had a first and 10 from our 40 yard line. I'd like to know the probability right at that point. I still don't think it would be 98% because it's too early in the game. Probably was in the low to maybe even middle 90s.

 

[mdharper]

Well it's even worse than that. 3576 wins out of 3584 games is a 99.8% win rate blown.

 

[Saint Kamara]

I’d assume maybe the colts with a prime manning or pats/brady would have 1 or 2 of those games. Maybe saints/Dolphins 2009 game?

That Manning comeback where he scored I want to say 3 TDs in the last 4 minutes of a game, I'll try to track that one down.

Ok, so that was 2003, outside the 15 year window.

But in 2012, the Chargers led the Broncos 24-0 at the half. Not sure if that was 98% but had to be close.

 

[COACHTDL]

I hope the Saints weren't in that number!

Well, if they count the playoffs, the Minnesota Mess up would put us in that number.

 

[Madmarsha]

Well, if they count the playoffs, the Minnesota Mess up would put us in that number.