I wish I could agree with you but the one thing that you forget is that the Falcons can run the football with the best of them. Detroit gave up 221 yards rushing to the Jets. I don't see the Jets holding the Falcons under 200 yards rushing and I don't see them staying anywhere close to the birds this weekend. If they still had Rogers clogging up the middle then maybe they have an outside chance at stealing this game. I hope I am wrong but I put my money on Atlanta -5.5