Who do we lose to?

The Bears have the lead for homefield advantage. The Saints and Giants are tied for #2; however, we play the Giants, so that'll be decided on the field. How many of these games do we lose, and which ones? How many victories will it take to get homefield advantage?

Nov 12 @Pittsburgh 4:15pm (Win)
Nov 19 Cincinnati 1:00pm (Win)
Nov 26 @Atlanta 1:00pm (Lose)
Dec 3 San Francisco 1:00pm (Win)
Dec 10 @Dallas 1:00pm (Win)
Dec 17 Washington 1:00pm (Win)
Dec 24 @N.Y. Giants 1:00pm (Lose)
Dec 31 Carolina 1:00pm (Win)

I see us going 12 and 4. But I think a loss to either the Cowboys or Panthers could happen too.

What do you think?