Just like all of the other times reconciliation was used? :shrug:
I'm not a huge fan of what any reconciled bill will look like but, absent any deleterious effects on people, it's pure silliness to think that it will be priority one in the minds of voters over their employment status, the economy, and national security.
Except, as you mentioned, for the "rabid base". And there's more than one of those.
And, of course, the point is being totally missed that, if the Democrats did nothing they were going to be killed anyway. The Republicans have been ramping up the "See...they've got sixty seats (now fifty-nine) and they still can't pass anything!" rhetoric since the middle of last year.
If you're going down regardless, might as well go down on the back of your own legilslation.