Read this and tell me why anyone WOULDN'T pick PIT
plus taking a knee and not scoring TD's has kinda skewed out scoring stats
Well I dont even think you need to get into a game-by-game or series-by-series analysis.
It's very simple.
Pittsburgh is a team which has tremendous trouble winning when it turns the ball over. This year it turns the ball over a lot.
The Saints are a team which has tremendous success when they don't turn the ball over. This year they don't turn the ball over a lot.
Based on prior results of 8 games, the most likely outcome is a
Pittsburgh turns it over a lot
Saints turn it over little
game (as opposed to P+ turnovers/S+ turnovers, P-/S+, P-/P- outcomes).
Ergo, it stands to reason, the Saints are most likely to win.