N/S Vegas - 49r's/Broncos 5-1 favs for next year

Forget both of them! I guarantee neither smells a SB! Manning is crap in the playoffs. That's a fact! I can pull up stats to show you. Reg season, he's great but he's a choker come playoff time. Seattle, St. Louis, maybe Atlanta, Cincy, are good picks. Come playoff time, look for a wild card to take it home ;)

It'll depend on a few scenarios playing out to see who takes it home. But since we're talking about betting props, here's why Baltimore had minimum 85% chance of winning:

02-01-2013, 06:49 PM
rarely do sb's turn out as you think, usually if you get it right it is mostly luck.
high scoring teams don't score, lesser teams blow out the opponent..etc..
this has been an exceptional playoffs for me and has seemed to consistently reflect trends and situational plays more than ever in recent history...so no reason to change now.

some interesting trends that pay year in and out in playoff situation have been gold and for this game, here we go.

*as we all know the dog has been gold going 8-3 ats in last 11 bowls. (balt)
*sb teams off b2b road games are 5-2 su and 6-0-1 ats s 99 (balt)
*in last 11 sb's, the team with the better regular season record has went 1-10 ats and 0-9 ats in last 9 straight
(balt 10-6)
(sf 11-4-1)
*any playoff team including sb teams off b2b games totalling 70+pts are 3-8 su and ats s 83 (sf 45+28)

my 20+pt playoff system which projected sf in the bowl not only came in, but has a twist..
the lower rated team of the 2 participants according to the #'s has went 10-3-1 ats s 98 and 6-1 su with a 7-0 ats record s 05.
(sf+20)
(bal+3)

gynecologist mentioned in his thread about flacco throwing 8td's in the playoffs with 0 interceptions, he left off the fact that this happened with 5 qb's prior to this feat, each time that team has gone on to not only win the game but get elected game mvp.

86 simms 8-0 won 39-20
89 montana 11-0 won 55-10
92 aikman 8-0 won 52-17
94 young 9-0 won 49-26
09 brees 8-0 won 31-17

how many times does this happen before it stops being called a coincidence, or is it possible most people just don't recognize a qb who is playing at his best.

this would fit perfectly into my mathematical outcome of the total points scored in the game, average these past outcomes in this situation and you have a final score of 45-18.
in using my shutdown system to determine the final point total the game comes out to a 14pt win and final score of baltimore 34-20.
this would play into baltimore's qb having a big day (unexpected), sf's defense surrendering large pts(unexpected), and maybe even history repeating itself once again and flacco being named mvp of the game...also (unexpected)

we'll see what happens...

GAME.