chance of mingo at 15

I think that there is a better than 50/50 shot of Mingo dropping to us. I actually think we'll have a decent shot of having our choice between Jarvis Jones and Mingo. I personally would prefer us to take a player with a clean bill of health. So, in that scenario Mingo would be my choice.
Have to agree with you. I also think Mingo lands between picks 10-15, giving us at least a 50% chance.