playoff turnover

so, every new NFL season comes with new playoff teams.... alot of them. thats what makes this league so much fun..... the never knowing who will do what. every year, approximately 6 teams from the previous year dont get in and 6 teams that missed the previous year find themselves playing in January. with that in mind, who will be the new teams this year? (for arguments sakes, lets just go with 6 teams)

last years in the NFC we had:
Atlanta
San Francisco
Green Bay
Washington
Seattle
Minnesota

in the AFC we had:
Denver
New England
Houston
Baltimore
Indianapolis
Cincinnati

where is the turnover?
i can see 3 in each. i see all the lower seeds in the NFC missing, that being Washington, Seattle and Minnesota. i just see the QBs having slight sophomore slumps, just big enough to cause them to miss. i know, everyone is on the Seattle bandwagon and nfl.com has them in the Superbowl, but i think they are overhyped and will take a step back.
i see New Orleans, Tampa Bay and New York getting in.

the AFC i see Houston, Baltimore and Cincinnati. i see Indy winning the South and being the only south team in. i think Luck takes a huge leap forward. i see Pittsburgh winning the North again so obviously they get back in. i also see the Browns, yes, the BROWNS getting a 6 seed in the same way Minnesota did, with a heavy power running game, average QB play and a really good defense. i also see the Jaguars.... no im just kidding, i see the Jets........ JOOOKKKEEE..... seriously, i see the Chargers having a bounce back year, maybe 10-6 to earn the 5 seed. any thoughts? or did everyone stop reading already?