Comparing Saints Defense to SF Defense and our future games with Panthers

Just sharing some figures I pulled for a post on another board.

Panthers vs Saints comparison, who is better team?

Saints Offense #2 vs Panthers Defense #2

Saints Defense #5 vs Panthers Offense #15. <<--- Why i think Saints better team!




Panther offense struggled to put 10 on SF def, here is how Saints D compares:

SF defense vs Saints defense (so much closer than I thought!)

Points a game - 17.2 vs 18.1 - they are allowing 0.9 less a game, yet if you take away the pick 6 which defense wasn't on field for, it's basically even

Total yards - 316.8 vs 317.6 - 7 yards less in 9 game, basically less than a yard a game difference!

Rush yards - 105.3 vs 117.7 - 111 yards more by Saints, so 12 rush yards more a game, not huge difference considering SF one of best rush Def

Pass Defense 211.4 vs 199.9 - 12 pass yards more by 49ers than #3 ranked Saints defense

So basically the SF defense Panthers barely put 10 on is statistically almost the same as Saints, yet Saints have #2 offense vs 49ers 23rd ranked offense!



My thoughts on chance of Panthers overtaking us:

Saints currently own two tiebreakers over Panthers already. The chances of Panthers sweeping Saints is minimal, Brees has played very well against Panthers with Newton and Riveras only wins coming last year against a handicapped team with no HC where in second game, Brees had about 118 passer rating and came close to doubling the defensive points allowed. I think we split games with each winning home games, and that leaves probable wins over Bucs and Falcons, and that means the 3 other games will decide it. But with one game lead and tiebreaker, Panthers would need to go 2-1 and Saints lose all 3, or 3-0 in those 3 games while Saints would need to go 1-2.