We can only lose 2 more games.

These are the teams in the wildcard hunt right now

Giants 5-3
Lions 5-4
Redskins 4-3-1
Eagles 4-4
Packers 4-4

The division leaders are Cowboys, Seahawks, Falcons, and Minnesota. Minnesota could collapse and the Lions win the division, but the Saints will have to beat out a lot teams to get a wild card. I agree 10-6 is probably the magic number.