I think there's a 0% chance Barkley gets to pick 4.
I think fear of the mistake has to be out of their minds. It's just as likely they take the wrong guy #1 as it is they miss the guy once more. If the margin is thin, as it appears to be right now, I think Barkley's talent should win them over. Guice will be in my first round, but I personally consider Barkley the best RB since AP. He was made for present day NFL. The margin is guaranteed to be greater between he and Guice. The question will be if one QB can create a noticeable margin at all, at which point I'll agree with you 100%. Rosen is my favorite of the bunch.