Drew Brees is MVP.... Refute it.
I have a bit of time on my hands while I have to wait to cook with the wife for Christmas eve, so I pulled up the MVP list since 1999.
Kurt Warner is the last QB to win league MVP and go on to win the SB. Since then, the list has looked like this -
2000 - Marshall Fault - Rams lose wildcard game
2001 - Kurt Warner - Rams lose Super Bowl
2002 - Rich Gannon - Raiders lose Super Bowl
2003 - Steve McNair/Peyton Manning - Titans and Colts lose in playoffs
2004 - Peyton Manning - Colts lose in divisional round
2005 - Shaun Alexander - Seahawks lose Super Bowl in the most controversial SB ever with bad officiating
2006 - LD Tomlinson - Chargers lose in divisional round
2007 - Tom Brady - Patriots lose Super Bowl
2008 - Peyton Manning - Colts lose in divisional round
2009 - Peyton Manning - Colts lose Super Bowl
2010 - Tom Brady - Patriots lose in divisional round
2011 - Aaron Rodgers - Packers lose in divisional round
2012 - Adrian Peterson - Vikings lose wildcard game
2013 - Peyton Manning - Broncos lose Super Bowl
2014 - Aaron Rodgers - Packers choke away conference title game
2015 - Cam Newton - Panthers lose Super Bowl
2016 - Matt Ryan - Falcons lose Super Bowl
2017 - Tom Brady - Patriots lose Super Bowl
Notice a trend here? It's almost been 20 years since the league MVP went on to win the Super Bowl. Rodgers is the only quarterback in recent years to not even reach the Super Bowl in an MVP season and I'm 100% sure the Packers would've lost to the Patriots too in 2014. That Packers team had no business getting past Dallas if not for the Dez Bryant call and then like perfect karma, they choked away the NFC title game. The Pats would've beat them in that Super Bowl, no doubt.
Getting MVP ended up being the kiss of death to Newton, Ryan and Brady the last three years in a row. The only one who played exceptionally well in their SB loss was Brady, and yet it was his fumble that became the deciding play in that game. They all received the kiss of death before the big game.
If Brees gets MVP and we follow that award up with a SB loss, I don't ever want to hear anyone complain about Peyton Manning having too many MVPs or Ryan and Newton having an MVP ever again. Then it will all be even.
No one is going to care or remember MVPs 20 years from now. Did anyone here remember Shaun Alexander winning his in 2005 or Rich Gannon having one? All we remember is that Oakland got demolished in that SB and the Seahawks were victims to some of the worst officiating ever in their SB loss to Pittsburgh (A true testament to the ring argument being ridiculous - Big Ben gets credit for having 2 rings when he played like absolute crap in that SB).
Just give it to Mahomes and spare us this MVP curse. I want another ring more than anything. Mahomes will be the face of the league two years from now when Brees and Brady are retired. The only thing stopping Mahomes is going to be his coach's bad clock management in the playoffs and the Chiefs horrible defense.