Exponentially might be an overstatement. Although the stat I found interesting in your graphic is that a team with a bye is 7.3x more likely to reach a super bowl than one without a bye. That's significant.
It's not quite as tragic as some of us would like to make out, though.
After all, we were sat in the #1 seed last year, all the stats said we therefore had a high probability of progressing. Of course we know what happened.
Play the games and let them come.