COVID-19 Outbreak (Update: More than 2.9M cases and 132,313 deaths in US)

IntenseSaint said

The 60% figure thrown around was based on population, that is why it was laughable.

And South Korea's population is 51 million people and Japan's is 126 Million people. Get back to me when at least one half of 1% of their populations have covid19.

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Right but that 60% also assumes no vaccine will be created, seasonal changes wont impact anything, no major travel restrictions or quarantines. In that scenario it is very plausible but worst case scenario. That is if the virus ran its course, it would have to infect 60% of the population before enough people have immunity to stop the spread.

I'm a believer that we are probably catching about 20% of cases globally right now so the real numbers are likely about 500% higher.

If Japan hits 1% I wont have to wake you up, you will feel the shockwaves.