Didn't we start closing things down a little faster than Italy? Seems like I remember Italy letting it go a little longer before finally closing things down. Will that have any measurable difference for us?
You almost have to look at each state as it's own little country with it's own curve. They are all shutting things down at different rates with different curves, different starting points, and different results. Once you add interstate travel into the mix, things get really messy.