COVID-19 Outbreak (Update: More than 2.9M cases and 132,313 deaths in US)

Brennan77 said

An uptick is expected. The point of a lockdown is not to prevent that. Or have we forgotten? Even those who managed the ICUs, who will not speak of the horror they attended to, are saying that the goal of the stay at home orders have been accomplished and that it is time to move on to living again.

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Like I mentioned to you the other day, it is not just simply gaining hospital capacity though. Not sure where this sense comes from? I guess the emphasis in the media? But that is simply one pillar. Perhaps the most popular and most crucial first step because it was the most pressing, but by no means all that matters. At least according to the experts, economic and scientific.

Without a sustained drop in cases(almost every major expert plan uses 14 days of a major and continual sustained decline in cases), to go hand in hand with a robust testing and tracing system that won’t be overwhelmed by significantly high case loads, all of which are mentioned as the foundation of every major expert strategy I have come across, from the Harvard Working Group, the CDC and White House guidelines, The American Enterprise Institute or The Center For American Progress. All you are doing without that crucial step is playing Russian Roulette with people’s lives by reopening when you have no mechanism to control the spread of the anticipated resurgence.