The IHME has new revised modeling out this morning. (That's the Institute for Health Metrics Evaluation (Univ. of Washington) - and they release weekly updates based on a very wide set of data).
They have revised the death toll through July up to more than 137,000. The primary driver for the upward revision is "significant increase in mobility" - this data point is gathered from cell phone pings to show how active a location is (how much people are moving around).