COVID-19 Outbreak (Update: More than 2.9M cases and 132,313 deaths in US)

Infoman said

We have, and we are... to an extent... read everything I have written, and put it into context... It was the right decision early... It can't continue.

I am not being impatient... safe is a matter of perspective (especially in this case)... I am pointing out that this is coming to a head, and decisions need to made now on how to move us past where we are.... because the tipping point is coming soon.

Reality can be sad and sobering... that doesn't mean we should ignore it.

Click to expand...

So, the question is, how confident are you in your tradeoff scenarios? Every level of opening comes with added risk of disease spread and death, and economic damage from that, and you weigh that against the benefits of increased economic activity, quality of life etc. Do you feel confident that you know what those tradeoffs are and are comfortable with them?

For example, let's say opening up the economy with no restrictions would lead to 1.2 million dead, 12 million hospitalized with long term health issues..... for that price you get a reduction of unemployment from 14% to 10%, and an increase in GDP from -7% to -4%. I assume that's a trade-off scenario you might not be comfortable with (note, I'm not saying that's what the tradeoff is, I'm just using it for illustrative example as a way to frame the issue).