I think one issue with Florida is what I think is a higher percentage of elderly people which could honestly cut both ways. They may be less likely to go out and get infected, but they are also more likely to die from being infected. Part of the problem you are going to have comparing any states, as I'm sure you know, is limiting the variables of the culture, geography, and demographics. Those things will change the numbers and really have nothing to do with how the government responded.
I mean, it's part of why Sweden is so controversial. Their culture is so different from ours that's it seems unlikely that what they did would work anywhere else, even if you believe that what they did is working.