***TROPICAL ALERT*** TROPICAL STORM ETA (Late season tropical outlook discussion)

Super44 said

Believe it or not, the GFS and EURO are getting aligned early on for this system. Pretty crazy considering how far out we are and all of the dynamics in play. The longer it sits, the more probable the EURO and GFS solutions will become likely. Need it to somehow find itself meandering over into northern Mexico where there is virtually no one living in that area.

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The GFS para has it hitting south Texas,moving offshore again,hitting SELA,moving offshore again and hitting the same area
Sally just ravaged. .2020 is crazy.

Here is a quote from a pro met on storm 2k. The experts are struggling with this one.

Models may be having trouble with all the cool, dry air flowing down the western Gulf along the coast of Mexico this weekend. Such flow naturally forms a wave on any cold front. Most models, at least initially, have the low as frontal. Some detach it from the front and drive it west to Texas next Wed-Thu-Fri. I'd much prefer that they are all wrong and nothing but a frontal wave develops. Who wants to come up with a 7-day forecast for me to issue to hundreds of clients tomorrow? Millions of dollars will depend on what is forecast. So much for any time off post-Sally.