The best QB in this draft

livefromDC said
Predicting who will be a franchise QB isn't the hard part. It's being in position to draft one. There's a reason Burrow went #1 over all and a reason why none of these QBs are ranked in the top 10 players. As we get closer to the draft desperate teams will take an unfounded risk and reach for a QB thinking "hopefully it turns out okay" versus "this is what the film says".

Hitting on a QB isn't as hard as the lottery, but people like to pretend it's random, like someone finds a Tom Brady every year. When in fact the MOST LIKELY outcome is dropping a first round pick on someone that shouldn't have been picked in the first. That's not hard to see if you take off the wishful thinking goggles.

When a franchise QB enters the draft, go all in to get him, but wasting a 1st hoping that a guy that looks like a project turns into a franchise QB is nuts. All these QBs other than Pickett have giant flaws, and while Pickett is arguably a first round guy, he still has questions marks.

I'm just not a fan of doing something when there's a lot of evidence it won't turn out well.

Hitting on a QB is hard no matter where you draft one. Look at all the high pick QBs that bust. And I'm not just talking about the guys that climb up the boards because QBs are so valuable. I'm talking about legit top prospects like Ryan Leaf, Matt Leinert, Rodney Pete, Steve Walsh, JaMarcus Russel, and the list goes on and on.

But the fact is that in basically every draft there are at least one or two QBs who end up being at worst solid starters in the NFL. They sometimes come as first round picks but not always. Sure, Brady is the outlier, but there are other examples like Brees, Kurt Warner, Russel Wilson, and more.

So, since we have Winston for 2 years, I'm not saying trade up in the first to overdraft a QB or even take a QB at #18 but if the teams' scouts like a QB and he is available as BPA in rounds 2 through 7, you draft him and hope you hit on the lottery ticket.