Ukraine

Belarus is stationing more and more troops on UKR border including special forces. They and Russia claim that Poland is going to attack them. Sound familiar?

I know they don’t want to initiate anything because they would get it handed to them. But, they are staging for something.
Belarus is gonna be in a world of hurt if they get involved. They have a lot of opposition in their own country. They will not like being drawn into the conflict by Russia.