China/Taiwan fight.
They are really trying to provoke a reaction, aren't they? I think as long as piloted craft, air and sea, stay away from Taiwans coasts and airspace, Taiwan won't respond....at least I hope so.
I don't think Taiwan will respond militarily against Chinese incursions, unless China actually sends fighter jets directly over one of their biggest cities or have some of their squadron vessels kind of hug but not get too close into the harbors or ports of Taipei or elsewhere. Their trying to annoy the hell out of the Taiwanese, US, other major East Asia allied nations that a hot-headed, or impulsive stupid Taiwanese aircraft or naval submarine boat attacks them sort of akin to how NVA SUPPOSEDLY attacked two American ships in the Gulf of Tonkin in summer of 1964 when in actuality, those NVA submarine boats didnt fire on either one of our ships. Their trying to push Taiwan or test their patience long enough to get them to react in a way they can claim is provocative, but also win over enough international support that the reaction sort of limits Biden's response from his NATO/East Asian allies, it has to look and seem enough like their in the right because if there's one thing the Chinese have learned observing the Russian quagmire/debacle in Ukraine: don't invade a country using stupid, idiotic and asinine reasons like denazifying and demilitarizing when Ukraine didnt even come close to attacking you.
What concerns me is Chinese military may concoct some elaborate, fantastical pretext like the Japanese did with the Marco Polo Bridge incident in 1931 which essentially began Japan's invasion of Manchuria and its near-15 year long series of attacks, incursions, invasions and conquests in Eastern and Southeastern Asia and most of the Pacific region or what Hitler's SD, led by Reinhardt Heinrich, faked an attack on a Polish/German border radio station using dead Jewish concentration camp victims, dressed up as Polish soldiers and having Wehrmacht/SS soldiers led by Alfred Neujocks, attack, beat up, harass and send out a barely-heard, understandable pre-written message in Polish. Neujocks men were wearing second-hand, laughably ridiculous Polish uniforms during their "attack". It was actually a terribly executed black-ops, " false-flag operation but it satisfied Hitler's demands or perceptions to justify back to the German people(and maybe some in the international community) that the Poles were the aggressors and he was justified in invading Poland on September 1st, 1939.