Ron Paul takes 2nd in Nevada

Do you see him finishing better than third in FL? He's currently polling behind McCain, Giuliani, Romney, Huckabee, and Thompson. Thompson voters should go to the traditional Republicans if he drops out. The closed primary favors the other candidates as well.

I think he will take 4th in Florida. A lot of Thompson voters actually like Ron Paul as a second candidate. If he drops out then I could see him making a move to 3rd but unlikely he drops before Florida. I think Paul takes 11% in Florida which will be good for him regardless if that puts him in last place or third. Double digits is good for Paul considering he was at 1-2 percent just 6 months ago.

I still don't think he can win, a lot of that is because he is losing a lot of voters because they don't think he can win. That is why the second place finish in Nevada was so good. Paul has beaten every candidate except Romney at least once.