This is a bad year to have the #1 pick IMO... There really isn't any player that is the clear-cut #1 guy. The Dolphins aren't going to get what they want for the pick, and will end up settling for someone there.
I agree. In recent times, trading the #1 overall pick usually requires that there is a clear cut player there (usually a QB) that is not only a need but the best player available in the draft. I just don't see one this year. You could make an arguement for McFadden, Dorsey, Long, and even Ryan... but they are all very debatable arguements. I personally think that no team will look to move up to that #1 spot, and the Fins will just have to go out on a limb and take the player that they have rated the highest.
If a trade is going to happen in the top 10... I'd say picks 3-8 are the mostly likely to have some movement this year.