You're 100% correct. In agreeing with that... the fact of the matter is there are tops 18 players in every draft that have a first round grade, so anywhere after say.. pick 20... you're drafting 2nd round talent with your first round pick.
If Hooker is your guy you draft him. Doesn't matter what the draftniks say. I don't think he makes it to 29, but I hope he does, and I hope we take him.