(long read) Let's talk Jameis Winston's future... while keeping it real.

The only problem I have with this is that decision making is a huge component of QB play. Its difficult for me to separate his physical gifts from his decision making shortcomings. I have grown to like Jameis as a person and a teammate. However, I would be surprised if he is a starter again in the league. I expect that he will compete each fall for a starting roll, and ultimately end up as the backup. His body of work is sufficient enough to show that he is not an upper tier QB when it comes to the entire package.
Decision making really didn't become the narrative until 2019 when he ran an offense that's probably one of the most complex in the league. So in 2020, you hear Carson Palmer say this about Bruce Arians offense:

“I believe he’ll have a big jump," Palmer said. "If he’s back in Tampa with Bruce, I really believe he’ll come back. Mentally, it’s such a difficult offense. It is not easy. There are tons of formations. Tons of shifts. Every play can change at the line of scrimmage, protection-wise. (funny how this contradicts what a lot of people say on here about his ability to do certain things..) There’s so many different concepts.

"We would go into game plans, and I know Tampa went into game plans with the possibility of having 300 to 400 plays come off the play sheet. So it’s not a simple offense. You know, you watch Baltimore play and you watch some of these teams that are just dynamic on offense and they’re putting in each game plan probably half the amount of plays that Bruce carries, so it’s not a simple offense to pick up and start off Year 1 and go out and have a Pro Bowl year.

"It takes years. It takes years for the quarterback and it takes years for the guys outside because there’s multiple opportunities where receivers have the opportunity to run one of two routes and they don’t make that decision and make that cut until they get to the top of the route. And that’s just something, you need time, you need experience within that system and that’s something you don’t have.

“You don’t have that experience in Year 1. You need Year 1 to go back and watch the film and see yourself doing it wrong and the receivers seeing themselves doing it wrong and then Year 2, really things start to click. That chemistry starts to develop and that trust and that confidence in the offense starts to develop. If Jameis is back in Tampa, I would expect Year 2 to be a massive year for him.”
So in an offense where both the receiver and the QB must be on the same page coupled with the fact that these choice routes occur at the top of the route (in a vertical offense) multiplied by the fact that someone did an All-22

https://www.pewterreport.com/all-22-film-review-bucs-qb-jameis-winstons-30-ints/
that shows that a huge chunk of the interceptions were caused by things other than "decision making" makes one wonder how folks are really doing their evaluation. Especially when the great Tom Brady couldn't finish a season running a scaled down version of this offense. At the end of the day, it is what it is.

And with all of that, he still threw for over 5100 yards and 33 TDs..

@DSnfla Why the facepalm? Lol