Ukraine

I don't think either Luka or Prigo want anything to do with Ukraine. And I think Lukashenko knows he has one foot out the opened widow. Prigo is just biding his time.
I don't know what fork Putin is doing. This whole thing is nuts!
It's scary.

Khrushchev once said the USSR didn't have to fight the US because we would tear ourselves apart from within. Then the 90s happened, The Soviet Union collasped but the flawed culture that caused it remains. So do the thousands of nuclear weapons. And they'll still be there when the R.U. collapses. Something needs to be done about that.

(Khrushchev may yet be proven right.)
My speculative theory about Lukashenko resolves the nuclear war specter without any nuclear weapons being used.

That was a key requirement I had when I was being speculative about it several days ago. Whatever is going on has to have the element of winding this war down without using nuclear weapons.

Deterrence works. It works so well that it will be a driving factor of something like this.