(long read) Let's talk Jameis Winston's future... while keeping it real.

Manning, but he isn’t NFL starter material either at this time.
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JW's predecessor in TB (Josh Freeman) was top 10 in Yards and TDs and lead a top 10 offense in 2012.... He was "not an NFL starting QB"

JW has more arm talent, and had a better supporting cast that Freeman... Outside of that, they are essential the same player, and are on a similar career trajectory.

Good list of some others here:

https://nflspinzone.com/2021/12/03/nfl-ranking-quarterbacks-one-hit-wonders/
I thought Glennon (chuckling at him with the Giants) and McCown were there before Jameis. *shrugs*
Anyway, I just checked and that 2012 Bucs had Vincent Jackson before the falloff, Mike Williams before the injury, and Doug Martin, who rushed for 1400+ yards and 11 TDs, so your view on "a better supporting cast" kinda fails, especially factoring in the run attack . And they finished 9th in yard and 13th in points with Freeman finishing 9th in yards and 7th in TDs, which still doesn't line up with what I said. You don't finish (as a QB) #1 in yards, #2 in TDs and lead the #3 team in both points and yards and not be a starting QB. I'm just saying.