PFF - have y'all seen this
Great red zone offenses have a strong tight end, box out wide receiver, offensive line and goal line back. The Raiders had Darren Waller, Josh Jacobs and Davante Adams last year but Waller was hurt most of the year with our current TE in Moreau. Jacobs had 12 TDs last year but only 2 from within 3 yards and 1,653 yards as one of the highest producers in the league. Adams had 14 tds the next best WR had 4. Moreau had 2, Waller had 3.
Here are some red zone stats surrounding that percentage completion. Part of the stat is how many throws did a QB actually have in the redzone. Dalton with the Saints only had 47 in 2022. Carr had ten more. I put Brady's recent stats to show how much higher a team that primarily throws in the redzone could be as a top of a scale.
Derek Carr
2022 red zone 24/57 42.11 11TDs 2 ints
2021 red zone 43/76 56.58 17 TDs 2 ints
2020 red zone 42 /78 53.85 15TDs 1 int
2019 red zone 42 /72 58.33 15TDs 2 int
2018 red zone 36 / 59 61.02 14TDs 2 Int
2017 red zone 22 /45 48.89 12 TDs 1 Int
2016 red zone 44/90 48.89 19 tds 1 int
2015 red zone 23 /52 44.23 17tds, 2 ints
2014 red zone 28 /44 63.64 18 tds 1 int
Tom Brady
2022 red zone 57 /97 58.76 20 tds 0 ints
2021 red zone 73 /120 60.83 30Tds 0 ints
2020 red zone 51/84 60.71 28 td 0 int
Andy Dalton
2022 red zone 31/47 65.96 11 tds 1 int
The Saints have Taysom Hill and Jamal Williams now and Moreau should be better than Trautman. We also have Miller that should be better than Ingram. Kamara has been great in the past in the red zone but he was not in 2022. Michael Thomas had two red zone TDs in game 1 last year. There is reason to hope that the Saints red zone talent around Carr could help red zone production but the team may not have Carr passing a whole lot in the red zone. The combo of Hill under center with Williams behind him with Michael Thomas as a single receiver seems like a strong goal line package where Carr may not even need to be on the field.