Chase Daniel's Analysis on the Saints Offense

Exactly. I thought the narrative was he throws deep looking for the big play too much on 3rd down…
On third down, yes, he passes deep way too often. It’s not a narrative, the numbers make it very clear since we throw 20+ yards downfield at twice the rate of the NFL average. He did it 4 out of 11 times against the Jaguars on 3rd and 6 or less, completing zero.

At the same time, he leads the league in checkdown rate (not sure on the splits by down). Checking down isn’t bad on its own, but it can be if he skips the progression and hits the checkdown at the end of his drop, as JTO pointed out in his film study.

It’s the worst mix, both involve passing on the progression way too often.