The Saints Broke The Law Of Hill The Past Two Weeks

Good job putting in the effort to do some research, although somewhat limited to paint a picture that attempts to dismiss "The Law of Hill".

It must first be noted that it's not Hills fault Payton didn't realize the weapon he had early on, and that dumb and dumber still don't.

In 2017 Hill didn't get a Single Carry. Zero!

In 2018 Hill only got 37 carries in 16 games, an average of only 2.3 rushing attempts per game, though he had a 5.3 average yards per carry.

In 2019 Hill only got 27 carries in 16 games, an average of only 1.7 rushing attempts per game, though he had a 5.8 average yards per carry.

In 2020 Hills carries increased to 87 over 16 games, an average of 5.4 rushing attempts per game, though he had a 5.3 average yards per carry.

In 2021 Hill carried the ball 70 times in the 12 games he played, an average of 5.8 attempts per game, though he had a 5.3 average yards per carry.

In 2022 Hill carried the ball 96 times over 16 games he played, an average of 6.0 attempts per game, though he had a 6.0 average yards per carry.

In 2023 Hill has carried the ball 70 times over 12 games thus far, an average of 5.8 attempts per game, though he is averaging 5.0 yards per carry.

So, in the 93 games Hill has played in he has averaged only 4.2 attempts per game, although he has a career rushing average of 5.4 yards per carry.


You failed to mention that in 2020 Hill had 6 games in which he carried the ball 7 or more times. The Saints won all 6 of those games (100%).
You also failed to mention that in 2020 Hill had 6 games in which he rushed for 40 or more yards. The Saints won all 6 of those games (100%).

Hills career attempts when the Saints are leading or trailing are virtually even, with a smaller number of them coming when tied. He doesn't choose when.

Hill has a Rushing Success Rate of 67.1% thus far in 2023, trailing only Josh Allen at 67.7% for players who have carried the ball at least 10 times this year.

For perspective, Alvin Kamara has a Rushing Success Rate of 48.9% so far in 2023. In their careers Hill has an incredible Rushing Success Rate of 60.2%. Kamara has an impressive career Rushing Success Rate of 50.6%. These are the Saints most successful rushers on the current team. Kamara is averaging 14.3 rushing attempts per game so far in 2023 averaging 3.8 yards per carry. Kamara has a career average of 13.1 carries per game with a career average of 4.5 yards per attempt. Both players entered the league as Saints in 2017. With 7 years of data, you would think the Saints would figure out a little better balance would be complimentary football for these two players, keeping Kamara a bit fresher and giving Hill a few more chances to lay his assault on opposing defenses.

Both the current and former coaching staffs have yet to figure out that "The Law of Hill" to be in effect requires at least 7 rushing attempts per game, with 40 or more rushing yards per game, and 8 or more touches in a game, or some combination thereof.

Taysom Hill:

Phenomenal Yes! He's A Beast! There's Not A Single Player In The NFL Like Him!
Phenomenon No! He's No Fluke! He's Underutilized!

"The Law of Hill" is REAL!!!
Actually, I did bring that up. Taysom never carried more than 7 times once until 2020. Our record: 37-11

In 2020, Taysom carried the ball 7 more times in 6 games and 3 of those were across games that he started as QB. The other 3 game were against the Bucs, 49ers, and Panthers. In the game against but the 49ers and Panthers, we were up 2 scores before Taysom registered his 4th carry. The only game where he rushing was actually significant to the win in the game that he didn't start as QB was against the Bucs.

In 2021, Taysom play in 12 games, as you pointed out. Here are the results in games where he didn't start at QB
-3-2 with JW at QB (it can be argued that the Giants game.....you know what, let me leave that alone)
-0-2 with TS

From 2017 - 2021, Taysom was responsible for:
8 passing TDS
16 Rushing TDS
7 Receiving TDS
(9 starts as QB)

From 2022 until now, Taysom is responsible for:
11 rushing TDs
3 receiving TDs
3 passing TDs

Again, when you peel back the layers, the "Law of Hill" and Taysom being seen as a cornerstone of the offense didn't come about until 2022 and Pete Carmichael.


As @BayouSAINTJoe said
Correlation =/= causation