In the history of the NFL there are 10 coaches in the Super Bowl era with a worse record than Dennis Allen, and none of those 10 saw a 6th season as a HC.
In contrast, there are 184 coaches with a better record than Allen.
I like our chances to damn near close our eyes and point at a bunch of random people in a room and they could perform better than Allen.
50/50 is some kind of joke.