"Obama slammed by speakers at McCain rally"

Obama, for a time, rather indelicately cited McCain's "half century of service". Obama simply has to lay off what Rove called "trashtalking". "You're likable enough, Hillary."

Use JFK-Nixon as a precedent. Clinton-Dole was an incumbent campaign with a popular President. Nixon was a third term of stagnancy and a ficticious "missile gap".

Exactly.

It really, really is just a popularity contest.