OT Coin Toss = 49'ers Demise?

Artifactual said

What makes this guy an expert? I call BS. How can he arrive at this percentage when there is no prior data? What we now know for sure is that it is 100% the wrong decision based on 1 of 1 as well as all the other reasons that have be pointed out in this thread. I wonder what the Vegas oddsmakers have to say about it.

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Right. They choose to point to the analytics that dont exist over the actual concrete information that a team can gain by deferring. When you defer, the entire game is in front of you. You get the information of exactly what it takes to win the game. So many coaching decisions are made for you, you take the guesswork out of nearly every situation on the 2nd possession. But this guy has created analytics based on, Im assuming playing Madden a few times. And then someone reads those garbage analytics, and uses them as their defense as to why its not a clear cut decision to defer. If you come away with that believing that the right move is to take the ball first, I just dont know what to tell you. I just know every coach saw that, and you will not see another coach take the ball first again. It was that egregious a move.

Its indefensable. If Shanahan planned to do this, its even worse. The idea of playing for the 3rd possession is about as cowardly a move as you can make and you probably dont deserve to win the SB. Which is why Andy Reid is filling his fingers up and Kyle Shanahan has 2 mega chokes in the SB.