@44slayer @Artifactual @Joey bourque
Ok you guys have me convinced ...
The key issue is the two point conversion, and the situation.
Its like in baseball, they throw out analytics in the postseason and go more with gut feeling and old school thinking. Because the postseason is different.
The problem is you can't win the game on the first possession. And unless you score 8 points, the other team always can win on the second. And no one is going for two if they score a touchdown on the first possession.
And you don't give Mahomes the chance to win the game on the second possession, even if technically its like a 70% chance you win or whatever if you score a TD on the first drive (basically KC touchdown probability * two point conversion probability, assuming they go for two which they probability would).
But this isn't any other game, its the Superbowl and Mahomes is going to will the team to victory if he has a chance. So even if you score 7 on the first possession, KC is going to for 8 because they know they probably can't stop you from getting a field goal on the 3rd possession
And you have Brock Purdy, so....
This is like Pete Carrol throwing from the one yard line while Marshawn Lynch's butt is getting cold on the bench. We don't give a crap about what the analytics say in a situation like that