https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-1-d&q=Caleb+Williams+bust
https://firstroundmock.com/2024/01/former-nfl-scout-caleb-williams-is-a-bust/Concerns
1. Downward trajectory ⎯Williams regressed in 2023.
2. NFL Expectations ⎯
will be crazy high. The expectations alone will cause him to be a bust.
3. Time to throw ⎯
Pro Football Focus recorded Williams at 3.44 seconds in 2022 and 3.21 seconds in 2023. Williams was sacked 63 times (2022-2023). Only seven NFL QBs are over 3 seconds (NEXT GEN STATS). Bears’ QB Justin Fields was the slowest (
3.23 seconds). Fields was sacked 99 times (2022-2023).
4. Glorifed system QB ⎯I did an independent study this season, Williams’ best completion percentages came throwing 44-62% short passes. His three worst games (55.9%-57.5%) were fewer short passes.
5. Not a big game QB ⎯Williams was 2-9 against ranked teams the past two seasons.
6. Fumbles ⎯
32 fumbles in 36 games.
7. Post-game conduct ⎯
refused to shake hands with Utah and
refused to talk to reporters after the UCLA loss.
8. Nature ⎯Wants to get out of structure as a passer and get reckless as a runner (increased injury risk). He reverts to locking in with receivers. Additionally,
he talked down about a fan calling him a “sheep,” and he does unpredictable and uncensored things ranging from
painting obscenities on his fingernails to jumping into the stands and crying in his mother’s arms.
9. Inexperienced dealing with adversity ⎯According to
Sports Illustrated (Nov. 28, 2023) Williams said, “I’ve never been in this situation, where I’m 7–5 and there are no playoff hopes at the end of the season. I’m dealing with it emotionally, dealing with it spiritually and physically. ”
10. Holiday Bowl ⎯USC bounced right back (same offensive line and defense) against No. 15 Louisville with QB Miller Moss who was making his first career start and he matched Williams’ USC high of six touchdown passes in a game.