Here’s what I don’t get re Saints ranking predictions

The reason is the last year's schedule. Our 9-8 record in 2023 was not an accurate depiction of the team because our schedule was so historically weak. Playing in most other divisions, we would have struggled to win seven games. I think the Saints will be better in 2024 because I expect some immediate contribution from our 2024 draft class, which I liked, and I think the coaching changes on the offensive side are a positive. But Las Vegas correctly has at 7.5 wins. I see a seven- or eight-win season.
Vegas doesn't base odds on the teams. Vegas bases odds on the money. 7.5 is the place that puts money on both sides of the bet. Even if in reality the Saints were a projected 12 win team, they would not put up 11.5 odds because almost all bettors would take the under and the sports books would have to pay out a ton of money if the Saints only won 11 games.

Always remember that Vegas sports odds are based on the perceptions of the customers betting money and never the teams themselves.

SFIAH