Alvin Kamara skips last minicamp practice over contract dispute (No Guarantees in ‘25); Alvin Kamara is seeking an extension
This article is FFL centric, but contains a lot of good analytics information in regards to RB play drop off.
I’m sure this article based on quantifiable factual data will be dismissed though since it’s a FFL site and doesn’t contain what you want to hear.
https://apexfantasyleagues.com/peak-age-nfl-running-back/
Here is another analytics study which concludes age 29 is where the sharp drop off begins. Once again, this is factual analytics data, regardless of who published it.
https://sites.northwestern.edu/nusportsanalytics/2020/12/29/the-nfl-running-back-age-cliff/
And again, I cannot emphasize this enough…I am not saying that this is what will DEFINITELY happen to Kamara. The only point I am making is that this impasse could turn ugly only because these are legitimate factors that the Saints have to weigh, and like many of you on this thread, I am sure it’s not what Kamara wants to hear.
The front office has to analyze risk, and from all accounts and historical data, it appears to be a high probability that they will get burned on a new deal for Alvin.