2024 Tropical Weather Thread

Great.

One thing is the blocking high pressure looks to be over us around time it enters Gulf so that's something to hope verifies
Plus, unlike typhoons or cyclones, hurricanes can only reach a certain intensity, strength and power scope before it gets too strong over the next 3-4 days and begins falling apart a bit before it hits Yucatan Peninsula presumably by late Friday or Saturday. I don't perceive this storm maintaining this intensity and strength at this peak before internal combustion sets in and it starts weakening. Thankfully for us and those living in the Yucatan Peninsula and Southern Mexican GOM coastline, Beryl "getting too strong, too fast" will be a benefit for not striking around Cozumel at a Cat 4 or 5.

Update: the most recent NHC Beryl Advisory has Beryl going into southern Yucatan Peninsula/Belizean border very early Friday morning on its most recent 5-day tracking forecast and re-entering Bay of Campeche as a Tropical Storm late Friday night.