From ESPN Colin Cowherd picks Saints last because of DA

You can make a case for us finishing 3rd in the division. We just arent very good. Sunshine pumpers can throw shade at that, but this roster - it just isnt very good. We have serious, serious questions in the trenches on both sides of the ball. Our O line is counting on a rookie and a full on bust to man the tackles. The guards arent good. McCoy is solid. We have a aging RB1 with a contract issue. A perpetually and painfully average QB1. No true RB2. No true WR1. Our WR2 is a 1 trick pony. We dont have a tight end on the roster. Our best defensive players are on the other side of their primes. And we have a head coach that couldnt coach his way out of a garage with 2 open garage doors and exit signs. I think if you ask anyone outside of the Sunshine Pumpers Club, theres at the very very least an argument for all those points.

But Carolina is far, far worse. They have nothing. And the nothing they dont have isnt going to be something anytime soon because they mortgaged most of their future on a bust at QB, gave away their best WR and are owned by the current worst owner in professional sports.
I think it's all about the first 6 games for us. If we can come through that time 3-3 I think we finish strong. Your points make sense at QB. Oline I think is average to average+. Defense is aging but a mix of some younger players. Go 3-3 we have a shot at a good season. 2-4 or worse I think the wheels start to come off early. We will find out soon enough. One constant even from the most optimistic folks is a weak HC and it all starts there.