I want to go into detail so bad about why context applies to the reason teams draft players or take chances on injured guys, but I really disdain writing long paragraphs just for people to cherry pick and say, nah don't agree or flat out can't understand the logic behind it. So I'll pass, you're right..it's not a great strategy.
It’s like only dating super hot chicks that have been to prison for aggravated assault and domestic abuse. You might strike gold 1/100 times but more than likely 99/100 times you’ll end up in a hospital bed right next to her ex.