Which would you pick?

The average guy on the street would have a 33% chance of making a free throw. Some more, some less.

Soccer penalty kick with a good goalie? 20% at most.

The field goal seems easy, but probably is not in reality. 20%

A 6-foot putt would be the least likely. 10%

Well there you go. I'm at least 70% on the free throw.

I'm pretty sure there's no way I'd score a PK with a goal keeper. If the putt doesn't have any break in it, I think I'd do better than 1 in 10, but not much better. The FG kick seems a bit of a wild card to me - 25 yards is probably the maximum distance where I think I might have a chance but I never could hit it right when I was younger and I have no reason to think I could do it now. Very, very low odds.