2024 Tropical Weather Thread

This thing contours to look east of the track, which remains unchanged. It’s gonna have to do some actual bending back to the west before landfall to make the NHC track. That was never projected.

There continues to be this divergence between the NHC track and the models. The NHC track is a good turn to the north and northwest going past Atlanta while both of the euro and the GFS have it more gradual and going past western South Carolina. I’m watching weather channel and their graphics are alternating between the NHC track and then later they show the model track and you’re sitting there going they’re quite different. Big difference for where I am. And my parents in Boone NC

This first post was about 10 hours before landfall and the second was about 6 hours before. NHC never adjusted the track - which I don’t think helped the NC folks as much as it could have.
Actual track vs NHC:

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