2024 Tropical Weather Thread

superchuck500 said
Still showing a TS crossing the peninsula and heading out to the east, yes?

GFS, yes. euro shows large cat 2. Ship guidance is split between moderate TS and major hurricane. Icon has a cat 1. Hurricane models are all over. Euro ensemble shows a consistent cat 1/2 signal. If timing is right it will hit during astronomical peak tides. Right now the GFS is the outlier.

Euro feels really locked in on this one run after run. If it is right its going to crush the remaining part of Florida’s West coast with storm surge.

I know how terrible the Carolinas are but people aren’t comprehending how bad Florida was hit from Helene. I bet more homes were badly damaged/destroyed in Florida. Carolinas infrastructure and humanitarian side is far worse but Helene really worked Florida to the point it would be a huge story still if not for the flooding.

I just hope the season is done after this but somehow I doubt it.